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	<title>Comments on: Taxes at the Top</title>
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	<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/</link>
	<description>Lane Kenworthy</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 29 Jul 2010 17:19:18 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Grant</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-1749</link>
		<dc:creator>Grant</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Jul 2010 04:15:26 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Very well put together! I think that taxes should be fair, and those who make the most should pay the most. I&#039;d imagine that a lot of the taxes on the super rich are not actually captured. I know one poster mentioned that the &quot;loopholes&quot; are fixed pretty quickly, but I&#039;d think a lot still goes past the radar, especially with the way the IRS has had it&#039;s hands tied by the prior administration!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very well put together! I think that taxes should be fair, and those who make the most should pay the most. I&#8217;d imagine that a lot of the taxes on the super rich are not actually captured. I know one poster mentioned that the &#8220;loopholes&#8221; are fixed pretty quickly, but I&#8217;d think a lot still goes past the radar, especially with the way the IRS has had it&#8217;s hands tied by the prior administration!</p>
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		<title>By: Asymptosis &#187; Tax the Rich! And make us all richer?</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-1516</link>
		<dc:creator>Asymptosis &#187; Tax the Rich! And make us all richer?</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Dec 2009 20:24:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-1516</guid>
		<description>[...] Lane Kenworthy takes up the tax-rates-on-the-rich-versus-GDP-growth discussion (hat tip to Free Exchange for the pointer). His key point: more important than top marginal rate, is the effective rate that top earners pay. The post is also quite interesting in concentrating on&#160; the GDP-growth effect of taxes on the top 1% of earners. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Lane Kenworthy takes up the tax-rates-on-the-rich-versus-GDP-growth discussion (hat tip to Free Exchange for the pointer). His key point: more important than top marginal rate, is the effective rate that top earners pay. The post is also quite interesting in concentrating on&nbsp; the GDP-growth effect of taxes on the top 1% of earners. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: PreGameLobby - Erection 2008</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-719</link>
		<dc:creator>PreGameLobby - Erection 2008</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 03:35:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-719</guid>
		<description>[...]  And interestingly enough, the current tax rate on the rich is actually pretty low historically:    source    As a final remark, I would say that your income is not the ultimate determination of being [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...]  And interestingly enough, the current tax rate on the rich is actually pretty low historically:    source    As a final remark, I would say that your income is not the ultimate determination of being [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Ben Leet</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-84</link>
		<dc:creator>Ben Leet</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 01:41:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-84</guid>
		<description>I note that Citizens for Tax Justice has an article on the &quot;overall tax rate.&quot; They use a different analysis to obtain a different result. It&#039;s dated 2004, so it should still be close to actual. They factor all taxes, state and local. The top one percent have an effective rate of 31% and the lowest quintile have a 19 % rate, and the majority pay a rate of 29%. 
The state&#039;s role in an economy is to maintain property rights and to provide &quot;freedom from want,&quot;  in FD Roosevelt&#039;s words. It becomes a subjective evaluation whether someone is paying too much or too little in taxes. Are working people undergoing hardships? What is poverty if not hardship? About a quarter of the jobs pay below the poverty level. Then the state should try to alleviate the hardships. It&#039;s a value judgment to require the affluent to maintain those workers who are struggling for necessities. Also, economic growth may be served effectively with demand-led or wage-led growth ensuring adequate aggregate demand.  See Jeff Madrick at Challenge Magazine. So morally and in terms of economic growth there are arguments for taxing the wealthy more than the poor.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I note that Citizens for Tax Justice has an article on the &#8220;overall tax rate.&#8221; They use a different analysis to obtain a different result. It&#8217;s dated 2004, so it should still be close to actual. They factor all taxes, state and local. The top one percent have an effective rate of 31% and the lowest quintile have a 19 % rate, and the majority pay a rate of 29%.<br />
The state&#8217;s role in an economy is to maintain property rights and to provide &#8220;freedom from want,&#8221;  in FD Roosevelt&#8217;s words. It becomes a subjective evaluation whether someone is paying too much or too little in taxes. Are working people undergoing hardships? What is poverty if not hardship? About a quarter of the jobs pay below the poverty level. Then the state should try to alleviate the hardships. It&#8217;s a value judgment to require the affluent to maintain those workers who are struggling for necessities. Also, economic growth may be served effectively with demand-led or wage-led growth ensuring adequate aggregate demand.  See Jeff Madrick at Challenge Magazine. So morally and in terms of economic growth there are arguments for taxing the wealthy more than the poor.</p>
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		<title>By: More on Taxes at the Top &#171; Consider the Evidence</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-71</link>
		<dc:creator>More on Taxes at the Top &#171; Consider the Evidence</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jan 2008 02:41:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-71</guid>
		<description>[...] Taxes at the&#160;Top  [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Taxes at the&nbsp;Top  [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-70</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jan 2008 02:51:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-70</guid>
		<description>&lt;b&gt;Lane:&lt;/b&gt; if you think that an effective tax rate of 36% for the richest few percent is fair, but you are paying an effective income tax of say 21% (guessing); then, given that you are among the richest few percent of the world&#039;s population, the right thing for you to do would be to volunteer the remaining 15% of your salary to help your African and Asian brethren.

If the rich people of the US should pay 36% of their income to help their less fortunate American brothers, then why should middle-income Americans &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; pay 36% to help their downtrodden brothers worldwide?

Unless it&#039;s not really all a big brotherhood after all, but more so a wolf-eat-sheep situation - tax people because we can, or perhaps because we envy them, or because it&#039;s convenient - not because we &lt;i&gt;should&lt;/i&gt;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>Lane:</b> if you think that an effective tax rate of 36% for the richest few percent is fair, but you are paying an effective income tax of say 21% (guessing); then, given that you are among the richest few percent of the world&#8217;s population, the right thing for you to do would be to volunteer the remaining 15% of your salary to help your African and Asian brethren.</p>
<p>If the rich people of the US should pay 36% of their income to help their less fortunate American brothers, then why should middle-income Americans <i>not</i> pay 36% to help their downtrodden brothers worldwide?</p>
<p>Unless it&#8217;s not really all a big brotherhood after all, but more so a wolf-eat-sheep situation &#8211; tax people because we can, or perhaps because we envy them, or because it&#8217;s convenient &#8211; not because we <i>should</i>?</p>
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		<title>By: R Davis</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-69</link>
		<dc:creator>R Davis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jan 2008 08:12:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-69</guid>
		<description>The 39.38 figure appears to be correct but it is the total INCOME tax share paid by the top 1 percent in 2005, not the PERSONAL tax share as mentioned by Cynic.  The latter would likely include payroll taxes.  Still, I understand your skepticism with anything claimed by &quot;think tanks&quot;, especially those whose studies always seem to reach the same conclusions.  If one makes such a claim, the most that I&#039;ll do is look up their source and crunch the numbers myself.  Looking at the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.ntu.org/main/page.php?PageID=6&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;link that was given&lt;/a&gt;, I see that the source was listed as the Internal Revenue Service but no more information was given.  In fact, you can find the numbers on the IRS site at &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls&lt;/a&gt;.  Why didn&#039;t the National Taxpayers Union list the link?  Perhaps they didn&#039;t want you to see some of the other numbers there.  For example, the spreadsheet shows that the top one percent paid 39.38% of total income taxes but also that they received 21.20% of all adjusted gross income.  Hence, they paid a bit less than double what they would have paid under a flat tax.  Also, the spreadsheet shows that their share of all adjusted gross income has risen from 11.30% in 1986 to 21.20% in 2005, nearly double.  You can find more information on these statistics at &lt;a href=&quot;http://home.ix.netcom.com/~rdavis2/richpay.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://home.ix.netcom.com/~rdavis2/richpay.html&lt;/a&gt;.  The numbers in the article are for 2001.  Following are the updated numbers for 2005:


PERCENT OF INCOME EARNED AND TAXES PAID BY SELECTED CUMULATIVE PERCENTILES IN 2005
.
                               Top 50  Top 25  Top 10  Top 5   Top 1
Percent share of...     Total Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
--------------------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 
Adjusted gross income  100.00   87.17   67.52   46.44   35.75   21.20 
Total income tax       100.00   96.93   85.99   70.30   59.67   39.38
Population             100.00   50.00   25.00   10.00    5.00    1.00
AGI floor ($thousand)     N/A   30.88   62.07  103.91  145.28  364.66
.
PERCENT OF INCOME EARNED AND TAXES PAID OF SELECTED DISTINCT PERCENTILES IN 2005
.
                        0-50   50-75   75-90   90-95   95-99   Top 1
Percent share of...   Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent
--------------------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- 
Adjusted gross income   12.83   19.65   21.08   10.70   14.55   21.20 
Total income tax         3.07   10.94   15.69   10.63   20.29   39.38 
Population              50.00   25.00   15.00    5.00    4.00    1.00
AGI floor ($thousand)     N/A   30.88   62.07  103.91  145.28  364.66
.
Source: http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 39.38 figure appears to be correct but it is the total INCOME tax share paid by the top 1 percent in 2005, not the PERSONAL tax share as mentioned by Cynic.  The latter would likely include payroll taxes.  Still, I understand your skepticism with anything claimed by &#8220;think tanks&#8221;, especially those whose studies always seem to reach the same conclusions.  If one makes such a claim, the most that I&#8217;ll do is look up their source and crunch the numbers myself.  Looking at the <a href="http://www.ntu.org/main/page.php?PageID=6" rel="nofollow">link that was given</a>, I see that the source was listed as the Internal Revenue Service but no more information was given.  In fact, you can find the numbers on the IRS site at <a href="http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls" rel="nofollow">http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls</a>.  Why didn&#8217;t the National Taxpayers Union list the link?  Perhaps they didn&#8217;t want you to see some of the other numbers there.  For example, the spreadsheet shows that the top one percent paid 39.38% of total income taxes but also that they received 21.20% of all adjusted gross income.  Hence, they paid a bit less than double what they would have paid under a flat tax.  Also, the spreadsheet shows that their share of all adjusted gross income has risen from 11.30% in 1986 to 21.20% in 2005, nearly double.  You can find more information on these statistics at <a href="http://home.ix.netcom.com/~rdavis2/richpay.html" rel="nofollow">http://home.ix.netcom.com/~rdavis2/richpay.html</a>.  The numbers in the article are for 2001.  Following are the updated numbers for 2005:</p>
<p>PERCENT OF INCOME EARNED AND TAXES PAID BY SELECTED CUMULATIVE PERCENTILES IN 2005<br />
.<br />
                               Top 50  Top 25  Top 10  Top 5   Top 1<br />
Percent share of&#8230;     Total Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212; &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;-<br />
Adjusted gross income  100.00   87.17   67.52   46.44   35.75   21.20<br />
Total income tax       100.00   96.93   85.99   70.30   59.67   39.38<br />
Population             100.00   50.00   25.00   10.00    5.00    1.00<br />
AGI floor ($thousand)     N/A   30.88   62.07  103.91  145.28  364.66<br />
.<br />
PERCENT OF INCOME EARNED AND TAXES PAID OF SELECTED DISTINCT PERCENTILES IN 2005<br />
.<br />
                        0-50   50-75   75-90   90-95   95-99   Top 1<br />
Percent share of&#8230;   Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212; &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;- &#8212;&#8212;-<br />
Adjusted gross income   12.83   19.65   21.08   10.70   14.55   21.20<br />
Total income tax         3.07   10.94   15.69   10.63   20.29   39.38<br />
Population              50.00   25.00   15.00    5.00    4.00    1.00<br />
AGI floor ($thousand)     N/A   30.88   62.07  103.91  145.28  364.66<br />
.<br />
Source: <a href="http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls" rel="nofollow">http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/05in05tr.xls</a></p>
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		<title>By: Steve Roth</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-65</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Roth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 20:47:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-65</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the regression lines. Makes the charts much more illuminating. It&#039;s darned interesting (but not terribly surprising) that the taxes-versus-growth line (almost flat, though it&#039;s still comparing same-year data, rather than ensuing years) looks identical to the one I pulled for OECD countries over thirty years. (Linked above.)

At risk of presuming, could you also add regression lines to the three scatter plots in &quot;Does More Equality Mean Less Economic Growth?&quot; (Would pull them myself, but don&#039;t have the data.) I&#039;m working on a post on the subject, will be referencing yours.

Thanks,

Steve</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the regression lines. Makes the charts much more illuminating. It&#8217;s darned interesting (but not terribly surprising) that the taxes-versus-growth line (almost flat, though it&#8217;s still comparing same-year data, rather than ensuing years) looks identical to the one I pulled for OECD countries over thirty years. (Linked above.)</p>
<p>At risk of presuming, could you also add regression lines to the three scatter plots in &#8220;Does More Equality Mean Less Economic Growth?&#8221; (Would pull them myself, but don&#8217;t have the data.) I&#8217;m working on a post on the subject, will be referencing yours.</p>
<p>Thanks,</p>
<p>Steve</p>
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		<title>By: Carolyn Kay</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-64</link>
		<dc:creator>Carolyn Kay</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 20:40:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-64</guid>
		<description>Rex Rhino:

My problem with the National Taxpayers&#039; Union is where they get their funding.  They&#039;re one of a constellation of anti-tax organizations bought and paid for by rich right-wing interests.  I thought everyone knew that.
http://mediatransparency.org/recipientgrants.php?recipientID=1129

They&#039;re paid to reach conclusions that their funders wish to be reached.

Oh, and &quot;ad hominem&quot; means &quot;to the man&quot;.  What I said wasn&#039;t a personal attack on anyone, and in fact wasn&#039;t even an attack.  Just telling the truth.  Which, of course, some folks don&#039;t want to hear.

Carolyn Kay
MakeThemAccountable.com</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rex Rhino:</p>
<p>My problem with the National Taxpayers&#8217; Union is where they get their funding.  They&#8217;re one of a constellation of anti-tax organizations bought and paid for by rich right-wing interests.  I thought everyone knew that.<br />
<a href="http://mediatransparency.org/recipientgrants.php?recipientID=1129" rel="nofollow">http://mediatransparency.org/recipientgrants.php?recipientID=1129</a></p>
<p>They&#8217;re paid to reach conclusions that their funders wish to be reached.</p>
<p>Oh, and &#8220;ad hominem&#8221; means &#8220;to the man&#8221;.  What I said wasn&#8217;t a personal attack on anyone, and in fact wasn&#8217;t even an attack.  Just telling the truth.  Which, of course, some folks don&#8217;t want to hear.</p>
<p>Carolyn Kay<br />
MakeThemAccountable.com</p>
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		<title>By: Lane Kenworthy</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-62</link>
		<dc:creator>Lane Kenworthy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 19:08:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-62</guid>
		<description>In response to a request, I&#039;ve added regression (&quot;best-fit&quot;) lines to the second and third charts.

Lane</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In response to a request, I&#8217;ve added regression (&#8220;best-fit&#8221;) lines to the second and third charts.</p>
<p>Lane</p>
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		<title>By: R Davis</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-52</link>
		<dc:creator>R Davis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 06:55:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-52</guid>
		<description>I very much agree with Lane Kenworthy’s conclusion that &quot;when the rate is higher, the federal government tends to collect a larger share of the national economy in taxes&quot;.  I also agree that &quot;the experience of the past several decades suggests that higher rates have had no adverse impact on growth of the economy&quot;.  I looked at both of these questions in regard to the Reagan tax cuts a few years ago and posted the resulting analysis at http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/taxcuts.html .  As stated in the analysis, the evidence is that the Reagan tax cuts decreased revenues over what they would have been, at least over the short (8-year) term.  Their effect on economic growth, however, is much more difficult to analyze.  Still, I didn&#039;t find any strong evidence that the Reagan tax cuts permanently affected the GDP one way or the other.

Lane also mentions that &quot;it is commonly objected that higher tax rates on the affluent will reduce incentives for saving, investment, entrepreneurialism, and hard work&quot;.  This is the reverse of the often discussed question, &quot;will a decrease in top-bracket income tax rates encourage work and investment, increasing growth?&quot;.  Following is an excerpt on this topic from page 116 of the book &quot;The Coming Generational Storm&quot;, co-written by economist Laurence Kotlikoff:

[START OF EXCERPT]
&lt;b&gt;There are two competing forces at play in determining whether pretax earning rise, stay the same, or fall.  On the one hand, workers may say to themselves, &quot;Boy, now that taxes are lower, I can work less and still receive the same after tax pay.  I&#039;m going to cut back my workweek.&quot; On the other hand, they may say, &quot;Boy, now&#039;s a good time to work more and earn more because taxes are lower on every extra dollar I earn&quot;. Economists call the first of these reactions the &quot;income effect&quot;.  They call the second reaction, the &quot;substitution&quot; or &quot;incentive effect&quot;.

Some of the best labor economists in the country have spent their lifetimes measuring the income and substitution effects.  The broad consensus of these experts is that the two effects are roughly offsetting.  This means that if wage tax rates are cut by, say 15 percent, tax revenues will fall by 15 percent.&lt;/b&gt;
[END OF EXCERPT]

There are other offsetting effects.  For example, tax cuts financed by borrowing may have a positive effect on the GDP by pumping additional money into the economy.  But this may be offset over the long run by the resulting cost of servicing the additional debt.  In addition, there may be seriously negative effects if the tax cuts are seen as unsustainable and/or to weaken the country&#039;s financial condition.  Even before the Bush tax cuts, the annual U.S. Budget was projecting that the federal debt would skyrocket over the next few decades (recent projections are at http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/pro2008.html ).  Many therefore believe that these tax cuts are unsustainable.  In any event, the point is that there are many possible effects of tax cuts, positive and negative.  We need to carefully analyze the data and avoid jumping to conclusions about the relative size of those effects.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I very much agree with Lane Kenworthy’s conclusion that &#8220;when the rate is higher, the federal government tends to collect a larger share of the national economy in taxes&#8221;.  I also agree that &#8220;the experience of the past several decades suggests that higher rates have had no adverse impact on growth of the economy&#8221;.  I looked at both of these questions in regard to the Reagan tax cuts a few years ago and posted the resulting analysis at <a href="http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/taxcuts.html" rel="nofollow">http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/taxcuts.html</a> .  As stated in the analysis, the evidence is that the Reagan tax cuts decreased revenues over what they would have been, at least over the short (8-year) term.  Their effect on economic growth, however, is much more difficult to analyze.  Still, I didn&#8217;t find any strong evidence that the Reagan tax cuts permanently affected the GDP one way or the other.</p>
<p>Lane also mentions that &#8220;it is commonly objected that higher tax rates on the affluent will reduce incentives for saving, investment, entrepreneurialism, and hard work&#8221;.  This is the reverse of the often discussed question, &#8220;will a decrease in top-bracket income tax rates encourage work and investment, increasing growth?&#8221;.  Following is an excerpt on this topic from page 116 of the book &#8220;The Coming Generational Storm&#8221;, co-written by economist Laurence Kotlikoff:</p>
<p>[START OF EXCERPT]<br />
<b>There are two competing forces at play in determining whether pretax earning rise, stay the same, or fall.  On the one hand, workers may say to themselves, &#8220;Boy, now that taxes are lower, I can work less and still receive the same after tax pay.  I&#8217;m going to cut back my workweek.&#8221; On the other hand, they may say, &#8220;Boy, now&#8217;s a good time to work more and earn more because taxes are lower on every extra dollar I earn&#8221;. Economists call the first of these reactions the &#8220;income effect&#8221;.  They call the second reaction, the &#8220;substitution&#8221; or &#8220;incentive effect&#8221;.</p>
<p>Some of the best labor economists in the country have spent their lifetimes measuring the income and substitution effects.  The broad consensus of these experts is that the two effects are roughly offsetting.  This means that if wage tax rates are cut by, say 15 percent, tax revenues will fall by 15 percent.</b><br />
[END OF EXCERPT]</p>
<p>There are other offsetting effects.  For example, tax cuts financed by borrowing may have a positive effect on the GDP by pumping additional money into the economy.  But this may be offset over the long run by the resulting cost of servicing the additional debt.  In addition, there may be seriously negative effects if the tax cuts are seen as unsustainable and/or to weaken the country&#8217;s financial condition.  Even before the Bush tax cuts, the annual U.S. Budget was projecting that the federal debt would skyrocket over the next few decades (recent projections are at <a href="http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/pro2008.html" rel="nofollow">http://home.att.net/~rdavis2/pro2008.html</a> ).  Many therefore believe that these tax cuts are unsustainable.  In any event, the point is that there are many possible effects of tax cuts, positive and negative.  We need to carefully analyze the data and avoid jumping to conclusions about the relative size of those effects.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Roth</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-51</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Roth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 01:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-51</guid>
		<description>Excellent post, thanks to Free Exchange for the link. (Agree with them that GDP growth is the interesting part.) 

The problem with the tax-rates-versus-GDP-growth chart is that it compares rates versus growth for the same years. Obviously, tax rates can take a long time to play out in the economy. 

Here&#039;s a similar scatterplot, showing OECD countries&#039; growth versus tax rates over thirty years of taxation, and 20 years of growth:

http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2007/12/government-ba-2.html

And here&#039;s more commentary on this post. Looking forward to reading more.

http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2008/01/tax-the-rich-an.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent post, thanks to Free Exchange for the link. (Agree with them that GDP growth is the interesting part.) </p>
<p>The problem with the tax-rates-versus-GDP-growth chart is that it compares rates versus growth for the same years. Obviously, tax rates can take a long time to play out in the economy. </p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a similar scatterplot, showing OECD countries&#8217; growth versus tax rates over thirty years of taxation, and 20 years of growth:</p>
<p><a href="http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2007/12/government-ba-2.html" rel="nofollow">http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2007/12/government-ba-2.html</a></p>
<p>And here&#8217;s more commentary on this post. Looking forward to reading more.</p>
<p><a href="http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2008/01/tax-the-rich-an.html" rel="nofollow">http://trueconservative.typepad.com/trueconservative/2008/01/tax-the-rich-an.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Higher tax rates on top 1% don&#8217;t slow economy &#171; Monte Asbury&#8217;s Blog</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-50</link>
		<dc:creator>Higher tax rates on top 1% don&#8217;t slow economy &#171; Monte Asbury&#8217;s Blog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 00:50:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-50</guid>
		<description>[...] clipped from lanekenworthy.net [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] clipped from lanekenworthy.net [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Rex Rhino</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-46</link>
		<dc:creator>Rex Rhino</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2008 17:40:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-46</guid>
		<description>Carolyn Kay:

I don&#039;t think those types of Ad Hominem attacks are really conducive to a rational discussion. If you have some problem with the methodology used by the National Taxpayers Union, then please bring it up. But &quot;THEY DISAGREE WITH ME, SO THEY ARE A BUNCH OF RIGHT WING STINKERS!!!&quot;, is just kind of childish name calling.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carolyn Kay:</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think those types of Ad Hominem attacks are really conducive to a rational discussion. If you have some problem with the methodology used by the National Taxpayers Union, then please bring it up. But &#8220;THEY DISAGREE WITH ME, SO THEY ARE A BUNCH OF RIGHT WING STINKERS!!!&#8221;, is just kind of childish name calling.</p>
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		<title>By: Carolyn Kay</title>
		<link>http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-45</link>
		<dc:creator>Carolyn Kay</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2008 15:43:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/01/14/taxes-at-the-top/#comment-45</guid>
		<description>Oh, and if those rich folks paid us more, we&#039;d pay more in taxes, too.

Carolyn Kay
MakeThemAccountable.com</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh, and if those rich folks paid us more, we&#8217;d pay more in taxes, too.</p>
<p>Carolyn Kay<br />
MakeThemAccountable.com</p>
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