Comments on: Seeing Clearly Now? http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/10/26/seeing-clearly-now/ Lane Kenworthy Wed, 23 May 2012 18:50:02 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ By: Fred Thompson http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/10/26/seeing-clearly-now/#comment-777 Mon, 27 Oct 2008 00:40:31 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=816#comment-777 Evidence that you are correct can be seen on Intrade Prediction Markets. Since Clinton withdrew her candidacy for the presidency, Obama’s price has closely tracked the price of a Recession in 2008. More than anything else, national elections are referenda on the state of the economy.

My impression is that foreign policy is off the table. Wars are bad for incumbents, but they have to be noticeable and, right now, things are pretty quiet in Iraq and Afghanistan — besides McCain is associated with Iraq, where things seem to be going OK, and Obama with Afghanistan, where things seem to be getting worse.

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