http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/ Lane Kenworthy Thu, 29 Jul 2010 17:19:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/#comment-800 Jeff Goodwin Thu, 13 Nov 2008 22:35:14 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=869#comment-800 As of today (Nov. 13, McCain's two-party percentage is 46.41. Hibbs prediction of 46.25 is off by 0.16. Pretty remarkable. As of today (Nov. 13, McCain’s two-party percentage is 46.41. Hibbs prediction of 46.25 is off by 0.16. Pretty remarkable.

]]> http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/#comment-797 Jeff Goodwin Sun, 09 Nov 2008 19:57:39 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=869#comment-797 The last few votes are still dribbling in, but last time I checked (just a few minutes ago), McCain had won 46.75 percent of the total votes of the two main parties (his overall percentage is about 46.1). Hibbs predicted 46.25. Not bad at all. Half a percentage point off. Not a very big Bradley/racism effect, if it's even that. The last few votes are still dribbling in, but last time I checked (just a few minutes ago), McCain had won 46.75 percent of the total votes of the two main parties (his overall percentage is about 46.1). Hibbs predicted 46.25. Not bad at all. Half a percentage point off. Not a very big Bradley/racism effect, if it’s even that.

]]> http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/#comment-793 padraic2112 Tue, 04 Nov 2008 20:56:41 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=869#comment-793 "It's the economy, stupid" seems more often than not to be the real indicator, doesn't it? “It’s the economy, stupid” seems more often than not to be the real indicator, doesn’t it?

]]> http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/#comment-792 EconTech » Links for 2008.11.03 Mon, 03 Nov 2008 22:33:25 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=869#comment-792 [...] Elections, Campaigns, and Fundamentals: Lane Kenworthy [...] [...] Elections, Campaigns, and Fundamentals: Lane Kenworthy [...]

]]> http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/03/elections-campaigns-and-fundamentals/#comment-791 Jacob Christensen › Never Mind the Spin Mon, 03 Nov 2008 17:11:42 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=869#comment-791 [...] Kenworthy reminds us of the predictions of Douglas Hibbs’ “Bread and Peace” model - “a [...] [...] Kenworthy reminds us of the predictions of Douglas Hibbs’ “Bread and Peace” model – “a [...]

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