http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/11/more-on-elections-and-fundamentals/ Lane Kenworthy Tue, 07 Feb 2012 16:54:44 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.com/ http://lanekenworthy.net/2008/11/11/more-on-elections-and-fundamentals/#comment-805 Sat, 15 Nov 2008 03:40:55 +0000 http://lanekenworthy.wordpress.com/?p=921#comment-805 On the other hand, the incumbent-party candidate lost in 2000, at the trough of that graph. I’d say the graph itself illustrates the effect Larry Bartels published this summer, and I’ll buy that when the graph is high, the incumbent is in trouble, but when the graph is low, the electorate is fat, dumb and happy so you don’t know what fool thing they might do.

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